InnovestX Unveils Global Economic Trends and
Investment Strategy for the Golden Dragon Year 2024, Forecasts SET Index at
1,650-1,700 Points
InnovestX Securities Co., Ltd.” the financial investment flagship of the SCBX Group, discloses its investment strategy for the new year, emphasizing "A Year of Value Investing." The Thai stock market currently presents numerous opportunities for long-term investors due to undervalued stocks. The outlook for the first quarter of 2024 indicates volatility, with potential economic setbacks in the United States leading to continued interest in bonds as attractive investment assets. Meanwhile, the stock market is expected to become more appealing as interest rates begin to stabilize. For the year 2024, the Asian stock market appears more attractive than leading markets such as the United States and Europe, with the Chinese economy gradually recovering from financial and treasury support measures. The growth of the Thai economy in 2024 depends on economic stimulus, including Digital Wallet initiatives and Soft Power support policies. The SET Index target is set at 1,650-1,700 points, with significant buying opportunities at 1,400-1,450 points. The highlighted stocks for 2024 include AMATA, BBL, BEM, BDMS, CPALL, CRC, GULF, OR, SCC, and SCGP.
Mr. Sukit Udomsirikul, Chief
Research Officer at InnovestX, comments,
The global economic overview for the Golden Dragon Year of 2024 anticipates a
year emphasizing 'A Year of Value Investing.' The Thai stock market presents
numerous opportunities for long-term investors as it features stocks with
prices significantly lower than their intrinsic values. The Asian stock market
is more intriguing than leading markets such as the United States and Europe
due to its sustained high growth rates. With inflation rates adjusting
downward, there is a likelihood of increased foreign capital flowing into Asian
stock markets. This is particularly true if the value of the U.S. dollar
weakens.
Mr. Sutthichai Kumworachai, Senior Analyst,
Wealth Research at InnovestX,
adds, "In 2024, we are entering a period of economic growth with lower
potential compared to previous years, prompting central banks worldwide, except
Japan, to begin reducing interest rates. Our asset allocation recommendations
for this year can be summarized as follows: 1) Emphasize investment in
high-quality debt instruments, including government bonds and corporate bonds
with Investment Grade ratings or higher, benefiting from the expected decline
in interest rates in the future. 2) Invest in Asian stocks, including those in
Thailand, which are more attractive than developed markets due to the
recovering economy. Global stock investments in the second half of 2024 are
expected to improve as the economy rebounds, with a focus on Value and Cyclical
stocks. 3) Diversify investments into alternative assets such as gold and
REITs."
Dr. Piyasak Manason, Senior
Economist at InnovestX,
concludes, "Developed economies like the United States and Europe are
entering a period of slowdown in the first half of 2024, leading the Fed to
potentially reduce interest rates by 1% in the first half of the year.
Meanwhile, China's economy is gradually recovering with support from monetary
policy easing. However, it still faces structural challenges, particularly in
the area of deflation. Regarding the Thai economy in 2024, we believe that
Digital Wallet measures are a crucial factor driving economic growth. If the
Digital Wallet measures pass as announced by the government, they could expand
the Thai economy by 4.1%. However, if these measures do not pass, we anticipate
a more modest expansion of 3.2%. We do not expect the Bank of Thailand to
reduce interest rates in 2024, with two key factors to monitor: 1) the
persistent contraction of inflation and 2) the government's implementation of
Digital Wallet measure."
Mr. Sitthichai Duangrattanachaya,
Senior Global Equity Strategist at InnovestX, shares insights into the investment strategy
for the first quarter of 2024, stating, "The overall investment landscape
in the first quarter of 2024 remains highly volatile. We anticipate potential
economic setbacks in the United States, leading to increased market
fluctuations. However, stocks in Thailand and Asia, where economies are
beginning to recover, may offer more attractive investment opportunities than
those in developed markets. In the Thai stock market, we expect an upward
adjustment, but volatility will persist throughout the year. Contributing
factors include the gradual disbursement of budget allocations and government
stimulus measures. Sustainable and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance)
stocks will gain significance and attract increased investment. Regarding
foreign stocks, we recommend investing in companies related to technology
themes benefiting from AI usage, suitable for long-term investment.
Semiconductor manufacturers are entering an upward cycle, and recovery remains
interesting in the first half of 2024. Additionally, investments in quality
stocks that have experienced significant price declines are emphasized."
"In summary, 2024 is expected
to be a year of continued market fluctuations in both the global and Thai stock
markets. This is likely due to three key factors. Firstly, economic factors,
uncertainties arise from the economic conditions in the United States,
which may face a potential downturn in the first half of 2024. Additionally,
the direction of the U.S. interest rates, whether they will decrease rapidly as
anticipated by the financial markets or not, could significantly impact the
future outlook for global and Thai stock markets (a slower-than-expected
decline might lead to market disappointments). China is facing significant
structural challenges, resulting in slower-than-average growth and a gradual
loss of economic dominance to India. It is also essential to monitor Japan's
central bank's monetary policy, specifically when it might cease easing.
Additionally, the progress of the Digital Wallet project and whether it aligns
with the government's goals. Secondly, Geopolitics, is poised to
introduce fluctuations to financial markets at certain intervals. Potential
impacts on the economy may stem from conflicts affecting energy and food
prices, as well as disruptions in transportation and broader economic warfare,
such as the U.S.-China tensions. In 2024, it is essential to observe China's
stance towards Taiwan post the completion of presidential elections (impacting
semiconductor business) and the U.S. presidential elections in November, which
could have ongoing consequences for the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The third
factor, challenging to predict but crucial not to overlook, is climate
change and natural disasters, emphasized by Mr. Sukit
Mr. Pichai Lertsupongkit, Chief
Commercial Officer at InnovestX, concludes
that “When interest rates have peaked, bonds and gold tend to provide favorable
returns, while stocks continue to exhibit volatility. Regarding international
market investments, the tax policy introduces concerns into the market. We
believe that investing in foreign markets remains crucial and is an attractive
option for investors due to the diverse range of alternative assets and greater
investment opportunities. At InnovestX, we offer a platform that supports
investors in accessing a comprehensive range of assets, coupled with the
continuous development of new products and services. For instance, our
collaboration with TradingView allows investors to directly trade Thai stocks
through InnovestX accounts on the TradingView platform. In the near future,
investors will also have the capability to trade various other assets. InnovestX
remains at the forefront of financial innovation, committed to developing a
platform that addresses investment needs in all market conditions. We invite
investors to explore the diverse opportunities available on our platform and
look forward to continuing our innovative strides in the realm of finance and
investment”
For
those investors keen on keeping up with the latest news and investment analyses
from InnovestX, additional information can be found at www.innovestx.co.th
#InnovestX #InnovestXResearch #InvestmentUniverseInYourHands
ไม่มีความคิดเห็น:
แสดงความคิดเห็น